1 Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel costs

(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and also reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the company’s share rate down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has created a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had predicted considering that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now expected to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.

"Renewable products’ prices have been negatively impacted by a substantial decline in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter,” Neste said in a declaration.

"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have not decreased and sustainable product market rate premiums have remained weak,” the company added.

Industry executives and analysts have stated quickly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are stopping briefly growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste’s share rate had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. ( by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki