Our new Deepseek-based AI states “Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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Nobody can forecast the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With as much as date news and a little however spirited 14 Billion specification design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to respond to humankind’s toughest questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, asteroidsathome.net simply as 2 years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less easy to select. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be better at forecasting the future (and have seen some intriguing improvements - research paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter design which is in fact on the smaller sized side. (Some price quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from lots of months ago so we have actually developed an “agentic pipeline” to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified area to make its best forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We posed the following questions to our AI and gauged its response. While we have seen prediction enhancements from our training, use these estimates for prop wagering at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis’ relationship is rock strong, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...

First, I’ll take a look at the crucial points from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He’s a big football star, and she’s been helpful of his profession, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are thrilled, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically given remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.

I think the key points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he’s plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses recommend it’s more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I ‘d approximate a low probability, perhaps around 5%, considering all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 “tush-pushes” throughout the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity

No Jason Kelce hasn’t stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature “tush-push” move, now its just a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a “tush-push” is? Does an AI even know what a “tush” is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen’s similar attempts? Appears like our AI thinks they’ll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I’m trying to find out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 “tush-pushes” during the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand just what a “tush-push” is. From the posts, it looks like it’s a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It’s compared to pushing a heavy box, so it’s a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the “tush-push.” It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the relocation. The article points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is pretty high. ... I also need to think about the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles’ “tush-push” method, they might adjust their defense appropriately, which could either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than 5 appears like a considerable number however possible offered their confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% chance. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they’ll use it a number of times, particularly if it’s efficient early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn’t going to pull back from a fight.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He’s done this in his songs, like “The Heart Part 4,” and even made a declaration during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears considerable due to the fact that it shows he’s done it before, so possibly he’ll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent articles, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That might imply he’s less most likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he’s also included in a feud with Drake, which may provide him factors to make some public declarations, even if they’re not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track “Not Like Us.” There’s a disparagement match from Drake, so maybe he’s mindful about including any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it’s uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent event, Lamar might feel obliged to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there’s a danger that such material may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making bold moves on big stages. He’s the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which might give him more creative freedom. Plus, his past behavior suggests he’s not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he’s less motivated to raise Trump this time around, especially if he’s focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, current shifts in focus, legal problems, and the occasion’s context-the likelihood seems to be moderately high, possibly around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn’t imply to cause offense which he really found it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he’s the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the posts, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There’s a short article specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he’s an individual who takes pleasure in consuming, especially with his group. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it’s possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the scenario is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never ever fails?” You can’t trick the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can’t be fooled and thinks anything can happen when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I’m attempting to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there’s some historic information that may affect this prediction.

First, I review the posts provided. They all mention the historical stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It seems like tails has actually shown up regularly than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, however it’s not a huge distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The minor historic edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making forecasts, sometimes people weigh historic data even if it’s not statistically considerable. So, I ought to think about whether this historical predisposition should influence the possibility.

After considering it, I choose that while the historic data reveals a for tails, it’s not statistically substantial sufficient to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I’ll opt for 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists but doesn’t override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn’t born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn’t inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its official now due to the fact that our AI states the possibilities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I’m attempting to find out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that’s a quite severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I’m seeing a great deal of articles that discuss conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable hire current games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as “outrageous” and “absurd.” They state there’s no evidence of methodical bias. That’s a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they’re rejecting it, it might mean there’s no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some truth to it.

Looking at the short articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also mentioned that statistical analysis doesn’t show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have been penalized more because 2022. That’s interesting since if they were getting special treatment, you might expect less penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably very low. Maybe not zero since you can’t eliminate every possibility, however incredibly unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the video game still? I think I’ll have to wait and see how the game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a good game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.